Manufacturing Sector - January 2013
Business Survey of the Manufacturing Sector in the Milan Area.
In January 2013, manufacturing confidence in the Milan area rose for the third consecutive month.
In detail
The confidence climate index moved from 93.4 in December to 94.5 in January. The increase of the indicator was due to an improvement in production expectations that were positive for the third consecutive month. In countertrend, stocks were in accumulation, whilst the contribution of domestic and foreign demand was neutral.
In terms of assessments, industrial production was picking up for the second consecutive month, backing on the value of October 2012. Foreign turnover reached its highest level since May 2008. Also domestic turnover increased, while maintaining negative balance. Employment collapsed, backing on a negative balance.
With reference to forecasts for the next 3-4 months, foreign orders expectations marked the peak since March 2011, showing a wide positive balance. Also national orders expectations rose, but staying negative.
Finally, opinions about the Italian economic situation improved, reaching their highest value since March 2012.
1. Graphs
Graph 1 - Confidence climate
Graph 2 - Production assessment
Graph 3 - Assessment on domestic orders
Graph 4 - Assessment on foreign orders
Graph 5 - Inventories
Graph 6 - Production expectation
2. Data
Table 1 - Confidence climate1
Reference period | Index (2005=100) |
October-12 | 90.8 |
November-12 | 91.7 |
December-12 | 93.4 |
January-13 | 94.5 |
1 The industrial confidence indicator is the arithmetic average of the seasonally adjusted data on production expectations, order books and stocks of finished products (with inverted sign). The index base is 2005=100.
Table 2 - Production
Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
October-12 | -5 | 6 | -5 | -20 |
November-12 | -12 | -30 | 1 | -11 |
December-12 | -7 | -47 | 1 | 5 |
January-13 | -4 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
Table 3 - Domestic orders
Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
October-12 | -12 | -2 | -8 | -21 |
November-12 | -20 | -37 | -10 | -20 |
December-12 | -15 | -49 | -8 | -5 |
January-13 | -14 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
Table 4 - Foreign orders
Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
October-12 | -11 | -4 | 1 | -9 |
November-12 | -17 | -26 | 8 | -2 |
December-12 | -4 | -33 | 1 | 5 |
January-13 | -3 | 8 | 18 | 25 |
Table 5 - Domestic turnover
Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
October-12 | -10 | -5 |
November-12 | -21 | -30 |
December-12 | -7 | -47 |
January-13 | -5 | 5 |
Table 6 - Foreign turnover
Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
October-12 | -1 | 8 |
November-12 | -15 | -28 |
December-12 | 10 | -32 |
January-13 | 11 | 18 |
Table 7 - Other balances
Reference period | Inventories seasonally adj. data |
Inventories raw data |
Employment seasonally adj. data |
Employment raw data |
Expectations on economic situation seasonally adj. data |
Expectations on economic situation raw data |
October-12 | 2 | 0 | -10 | -11 | -41 | -40 |
November-12 | -2 | 0 | -2 | -2 | -45 | -45 |
December-12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -31 | -32 |
January-13 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -9 | -27 | -27 |
Contact us
For further information please contact the Research Department tel. +390258370.328/409, e-mail stud@assolombarda
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